Bitcoin’s rebound may be fragile as Wall Street warns Hormuz disruption is not really over

A two-week conditional ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran has forced a rapid rewrite of the Strait of Hormuz trade, but it has not fully restored the pre-war macro backdrop. Oil has fallen sharply from the panic highs, global equities have rallied, and Bitcoin has rebounded with them. That is a clear break from the pre-ceasefire view that markets were giving up on any near-term reopening. What has changed is the hea…